Well the inaugural Sunday didn’t quite go as planned but week 16 will prove to be different. Here are Week 16’s picks.
Early Games (1:00 EST) Travis Kelce OVER 81.5 Receiving Yards -112 Kelce has had 82 or more receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games. The Falcons pass defense ranks 31st in the league making this a good matchup. So, we got something that has happened in 6 of the last 7 games against a team that is more likely to allow it to happen again. The biggest concern is that Kelce sits early in a blowout before he can get the yards. Mark Andrews OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards -112 We are going to keep the TE Receiving yards OVER going. Andrews has eclipsed the 49 yard mark in each of the last 4 games. Baltimore seems to be turning their offense around and Andrews is a big part of that. Mike Glennon UNDER 10.5 Rushing Yards -134 Glennon has not rushed for over 10 yards since 2014. Just lay the money and collect the bet.
Ben Roethlisberger UNDER 272.5 Passing Yards -118 Roethlisberger has gone under this number 4 out of his last 5 games. This week he gets a very good Colts defense that only allows 236 passing yards per game. DeShaun Watson OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards -112 This was a winner from last week so I am going back to this well until it burns me (to mix metaphors). This is a slight bump in yardage, which makes it so his history of the over isn’t as good. However, I still expect him to rush for more than 27 yards. Late Games (4:00 EST) Justin Herbert UNDER 13.5 Rushing Yards -112 Herbert started his career out rushing the ball going over this number 6 of his first 7 games. However, since those games he has gone over 14 just once (last week in an OT game) and has actually had 0 or less 3 of the last 4 games. Darrelle Henderson OVER 47.5 Rushing Yards -112 Henderson is in line to be the lead back with Cam Akers out. When Henderson gets over 10 carries, he is 4 out of 5 breaking the 48 yard mark. Today he is in line for more than 10 carries making this a solid play. Sunday Night Football Derrick Henry OVER 104.5 Rushing Yards -124 Feel free to ignore this one because I put zero research into it. I just know that Henry is on a tear and I plan on taking his over rushing yards until it doesn’t hit. I have a feeling I will be doing the same next week. Well that’s all folks. Check back in next week. -Shaun Parrott