The Backdoor Cover - NFL Week 8 Picks

By: Josh Gamble

*All lines are accurate as of Saturday morning*

Colts (-2.5) @ Lions – Over/Under 50

The Lions are coming off an emotional, last second win against the Falcons. What remains to be seen is if they use this momentum coming into this week’s game. The Colts were on a bye last week and should be well rested traveling to Detroit. The line at this game has held constant since its open at 2.5 points in favor of the Colts. Normally, I would jump all over a 2.5 point home underdog but I just cannot do it here. The Lions are not a good football team while the Colts have had one of the best defenses this season. The cash and tickets are showing a slight lean towards the Colts. I would stay away from this game.

Vikings @ Packers (-6) – Over/Under 49.5

This NFC North showdown features two teams with inverse records. Most would say that they are both trending in opposite directions of their preseason expectations. The Packers have been lights out and through the first half of the season, appear to be legitimate Super Bowl contenders in the NFC. The Vikings have been flat out bad. Sure, they have shown some signs of life this season, but this was a team people expected to at least compete. The line opened at 6 points and that is where we stand today. That tells me that people think the line is pretty fair and the split in bets backs that up. I do not see much value in this game.

Patriots @ Bills (-3.5) – Over/Under 41

The line in this game has been teetering between 3.5 and 4 all week. These are two teams that I do not really have a whole lot of confidence in currently. The Patriots have not looked good the past few weeks and you could say the same about the Bills. The Bills have been one of the more disappointing teams recently. They opened the season looking like AFC contenders and have stumbled and looked sloppy recently. The cash right now is on the Patriots; however, I just do not trust this offense enough to lay my money down.

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